Model line
Dayton −10.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 87%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Dayton home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Dayton a 10.9-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
George Washington offense vs Dayton defense
| George Washington O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#95 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 54.8#47 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 18.1#278 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 36.1#25 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 35.5#163 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 10.0#237 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 55.5#100 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 56.4#39 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 35.3#99 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 72.1#203 | FT% | — |
| 46.7#35 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs George Washington defense
| Dayton O | Stat | George Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #9570.0 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #22852.2 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #10717.8 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #8428.4 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #17835.1 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #11210.5 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #34060.5 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #25953.6 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #16433.7 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #7143.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
George Washington
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | New Mexico66 | L 61–86 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Utah Valley120 | W 79–78 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 81–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Fordham111 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 62–68 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
