Model line
Rhode Island −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rhode Island 54%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Rhode Island home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Rhode Island a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dayton offense vs Rhode Island defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Rhode Island D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #29866.0 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #12250.4 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #1021.1 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #24731.8 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #33542.6 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #5112.0 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #22754.1 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #7449.3 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #23334.7 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #11041.5 |
Rhode Island offense vs Dayton defense
| Rhode Island O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#298 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 50.1#231 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 19.2#329 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 31.0#165 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 38.4#93 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 10.2#253 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 47.9#290 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 52.8#137 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 31.1#316 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 72.1#207 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#102 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
Rhode Island
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duquesne128 | L 61–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Fordham111 | L 49–61 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Duquesne128 | W 64–52 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 55–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | St. Bonaventure158 | L 76–94 |
