Model line
George Mason −2.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
George Mason 61%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
George Mason home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes George Mason a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs George Mason defense
| VCU O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
George Mason offense vs VCU defense
| George Mason O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
