Model line
Dayton −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 87%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Dayton home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Dayton a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
George Mason offense vs Dayton defense
| George Mason O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs George Mason defense
| Dayton O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
