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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Saint Louis · #60 · A10 · 0–0VCU · #53 · A10 · 0–0Fri, Feb 19 · 7:00 PM ETSiegel Center · Richmond, VA
Model line
VCU −6.7
Win probability
VCU 76%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
VCU home
24%Win probability76%

The model makes VCU a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Saint Louis offense vs VCU defense

Saint Louis OStatVCU D
72.1#23Tempo#13869.2
59.7#2eFG%#7049.0
17.2#219TOV%#15917.0
30.7#174ORB%#16230.0
33.7#221FT rate#12932.8
11.2#318Block%#8111.2
60.4#28Assist%#14050.8
59.5#112P%#5748.7
39.9#23P%#12133.0
74.1#130FT%—
45.1#653PA rate#31635.1

VCU offense vs Saint Louis defense

VCU OStatSaint Louis D
69.2#138Tempo#2372.1
53.6#84eFG%#445.2
15.1#74TOV%#22615.9
31.6#141ORB%#4427.2
42.0#31FT rate#24237.1
8.9#141Block%#1699.5
51.9#193Assist%#15751.4
53.0#1312P%#845.1
36.3#473P%#1530.3
73.6#151FT%—
43.8#973PA rate#9741.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Saint Louis

Sat, Mar 21NMichigan24L 72–95
Thu, Mar 19NGeorgia40W 102–77
Sat, Mar 14NDayton67L 69–70
Fri, Mar 13NGeorge Washington103W 88–81
Sat, Mar 7AGeorge Mason98L 57–86

VCU

Sat, Mar 21NIllinois7L 55–76
Thu, Mar 19NNorth Carolina39W 82–78
Sun, Mar 15NDayton67W 70–62
Sat, Mar 14NSaint Joseph's125W 77–64
Fri, Mar 13NDuquesne128W 71–66