Model line
Dayton −12.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 90%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Dayton home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Dayton a 12.3-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Joseph's offense vs Dayton defense
| Saint Joseph's O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#199 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 49.2#284 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 17.0#203 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 31.6#140 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 30.5#297 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 11.2#317 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 60.0#31 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 51.7#184 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 30.8#325 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 74.3#116 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#64 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Saint Joseph's defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Saint Joseph's D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #19968.0 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #2947.4 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #27115.2 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #19730.9 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #1626.5 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #3612.6 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #16451.7 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #3847.5 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #4931.5 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #15940.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Joseph's
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | New Mexico66 | L 69–84 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | California94 | W 76–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 69–64 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | VCU53 | L 64–77 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Davidson121 | W 70–58 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
