Model line
Saint Louis −15.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Louis 95%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Saint Louis home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Louis a 15.6-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Davidson offense vs Saint Louis defense
| Davidson O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#350 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 52.6#119 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 15.8#119 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 28.1#261 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 31.0#281 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 9.6#198 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 53.6#147 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 52.2#162 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 35.4#94 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 63.9#365 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#78 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Saint Louis offense vs Davidson defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | Davidson D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #35064.2 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #13150.6 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #12017.5 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #15730.0 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #23937.1 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #4912.0 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #9449.3 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #17351.6 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #9032.6 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #27136.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Davidson
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Oklahoma St.52 | L 80–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | L 58–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | W 64–59 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | St. Bonaventure158 | W 68–63 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 67–70 |
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
