Model line
Dayton −13.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 92%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Dayton home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Dayton a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Duquesne offense vs Dayton defense
| Duquesne O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#127 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 52.3#131 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 17.6#243 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 30.4#185 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 38.3#94 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 12.5#347 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 55.9#93 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 54.5#71 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 33.1#221 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 71.5#220 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#80 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Duquesne defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Duquesne D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #12769.3 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #23952.5 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #8318.3 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #13929.6 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #30039.9 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #1979.0 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #25755.2 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #15551.3 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #31036.2 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #15040.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Duquesne
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | VCU53 | L 66–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rhode Island138 | W 67–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Richmond127 | W 79–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Rhode Island138 | L 52–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Louis60 | L 76–91 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
