Model line
Saint Louis −16.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Louis 96%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Saint Louis home
5%Win probability96%
The model makes Saint Louis a 16.1-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Joseph's offense vs Saint Louis defense
| Saint Joseph's O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#199 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 49.2#284 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 17.0#203 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 31.6#140 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 30.5#297 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 11.2#317 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 60.0#31 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 51.7#184 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 30.8#325 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 74.3#116 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#64 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Saint Louis offense vs Saint Joseph's defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | Saint Joseph's D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #19968.0 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #2947.4 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #27115.2 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #19730.9 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #1626.5 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #3612.6 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #16451.7 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #3847.5 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #4931.5 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #15940.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Joseph's
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | New Mexico66 | L 69–84 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | California94 | W 76–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 69–64 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | VCU53 | L 64–77 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Davidson121 | W 70–58 |
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
