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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Dayton · #67 · A10 · 0–0Fordham · #111 · A10 · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 4:30 PM ETRose Hill Gym · Bronx, NY
Model line
Fordham −2.4
Win probability
Fordham 60%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Fordham home
40%Win probability60%

The model makes Fordham a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Dayton offense vs Fordham defense

Dayton OStatFordham D
67.7#212Tempo#33964.5
52.2#135eFG%#9349.9
17.1#207TOV%#13317.2
26.9#301ORB%#3226.8
46.7#1FT rate#6730.3
11.5#327Block%#3196.8
59.4#39Assist%#34260.7
52.4#1512P%#9149.8
34.5#1493P%#14233.4
75.4#68FT%—
41.5#1413PA rate#8542.4

Fordham offense vs Dayton defense

Fordham OStatDayton D
64.5#339Tempo#21267.7
48.6#300eFG%#14450.8
17.2#214TOV%#1120.9
34.1#63ORB%#12029.2
26.4#355FT rate#18835.3
8.5#100Block%#5012.0
52.4#182Assist%#12750.6
51.9#1712P%#7049.3
28.9#3553P%#27035.4
70.2#265FT%—
38.3#2033PA rate#13040.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Dayton

Wed, Mar 25HIllinois St.116L 55–61
Sat, Mar 21AUNC Wilmington107W 80–61
Wed, Mar 18ABradley183W 80–66
Sun, Mar 15NVCU53L 62–70
Sat, Mar 14NSaint Louis60W 70–69

Fordham

Thu, Mar 12NGeorge Washington103L 62–66
Sat, Mar 7HRhode Island138W 61–49
Wed, Mar 4ALa Salle168L 84–87
Sat, Feb 28AVCU53L 63–82
Sat, Feb 21HDavidson121W 63–59