Model line
Saint Louis −6.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Louis 76%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Saint Louis home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Saint Louis a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs Saint Louis defense
| VCU O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Saint Louis offense vs VCU defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
