Model line
Richmond −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 63%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Richmond home
38%Win probability63%
The model makes Richmond a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Davidson offense vs Richmond defense
| Davidson O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#205 | Tempo | #2377.5 |
| 66.0#16 | eFG% | #14252.3 |
| 21.1#170 | TOV% | #4823.2 |
| 25.0#179 | ORB% | #12931.4 |
| 22.6#197 | FT rate | #6726.6 |
| 3.3#39 | Block% | #3516.3 |
| 62.1#66 | Assist% | #1632.3 |
| 56.7#87 | 2P% | #17760.5 |
| 52.2#7 | 3P% | #5123.8 |
| 50.0#226 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#98 | 3PA rate | #20632.8 |
Richmond offense vs Davidson defense
| Richmond O | Stat | Davidson D |
|---|---|---|
| 77.5#23 | Tempo | #20566.5 |
| 69.7#2 | eFG% | #2539.0 |
| 18.1#120 | TOV% | #20213.5 |
| 31.0#120 | ORB% | #14432.6 |
| 34.4#133 | FT rate | #1716.2 |
| 8.3#106 | Block% | #1656.8 |
| 77.8#7 | Assist% | #6345.8 |
| 63.9#40 | 2P% | #5343.2 |
| 52.0#8 | 3P% | #2920.8 |
| 71.4#102 | FT% | — |
| 41.0#119 | 3PA rate | #18435.3 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Davidson
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Washington St.164 | W 76–61 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Oklahoma St.49 | L 80–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Saint Joseph's124 | L 58–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Loyola Chicago125 | W 64–59 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | St. Bonaventure193 | W 68–63 |
Richmond
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | UNC Asheville306 | W 100–77 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago125 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton64 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago125 | L 66–69 |
