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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Dayton · #67 · A10 · 0–0Loyola Chicago · #151 · A10 · 0–0Tue, Feb 2 · 9:00 PM ETGentile Arena · Chicago, IL
Model line
Dayton −0.6
Win probability
Dayton 53%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Loyola Chicago home
53%Win probability48%

The model makes Dayton a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Dayton offense vs Loyola Chicago defense

Dayton OStatLoyola Chicago D
67.7#212Tempo#30165.9
52.2#135eFG%#21052.0
17.1#207TOV%#35712.9
26.9#301ORB%#14529.7
46.7#1FT rate#14133.6
11.5#327Block%#6311.6
59.4#39Assist%#34861.3
52.4#1512P%#8149.5
34.5#1493P%#34036.8
75.4#68FT%—
41.5#1413PA rate#4044.3

Loyola Chicago offense vs Dayton defense

Loyola Chicago OStatDayton D
65.9#301Tempo#21267.7
49.8#246eFG%#14450.8
19.8#345TOV%#1120.9
30.5#180ORB%#12029.2
34.8#188FT rate#18835.3
13.9#362Block%#5012.0
60.8#27Assist%#12750.6
51.9#1722P%#7049.3
31.7#2933P%#27035.4
67.3#338FT%—
47.7#293PA rate#13040.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Dayton

Wed, Mar 25HIllinois St.116L 55–61
Sat, Mar 21AUNC Wilmington107W 80–61
Wed, Mar 18ABradley183W 80–66
Sun, Mar 15NVCU53L 62–70
Sat, Mar 14NSaint Louis60W 70–69

Loyola Chicago

Thu, Mar 12NDavidson121L 59–64
Wed, Mar 11NRichmond127W 75–67
Sat, Mar 7HGeorge Washington103W 68–62
Wed, Mar 4ASaint Louis60L 65–79
Sat, Feb 28HRichmond127W 69–66