Model line
George Mason −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
George Mason 85%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
George Mason home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes George Mason a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Joseph's offense vs George Mason defense
| Saint Joseph's O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#199 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 49.2#284 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 17.0#203 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 31.6#140 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 30.5#297 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 11.2#317 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 60.0#31 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 51.7#184 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 30.8#325 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 74.3#116 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#64 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
George Mason offense vs Saint Joseph's defense
| George Mason O | Stat | Saint Joseph's D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #19968.0 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #2947.4 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #27115.2 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #19730.9 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #1626.5 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #3612.6 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #16451.7 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #3847.5 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #4931.5 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #15940.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Joseph's
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | New Mexico66 | L 69–84 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | California94 | W 76–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 69–64 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | VCU53 | L 64–77 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Davidson121 | W 70–58 |
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
