Model line
VCU −16.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
VCU 96%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
VCU home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes VCU a 16.9-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Richmond offense vs VCU defense
| Richmond O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
VCU offense vs Richmond defense
| VCU O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
