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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

George Mason · #98 · A10 · 0–0VCU · #53 · A10 · 0–0Wed, Jan 27 · 6:00 PM ETSiegel Center · Richmond, VA
Model line
VCU −12.1
Win probability
VCU 90%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
VCU home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes VCU a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

George Mason offense vs VCU defense

George Mason OStatVCU D
64.7#335Tempo#13869.2
52.7#113eFG%#7049.0
15.8#120TOV%#15917.0
31.3#149ORB%#16230.0
41.1#46FT rate#12932.8
9.8#220Block%#8111.2
49.9#243Assist%#14050.8
54.3#792P%#5748.7
33.3#2093P%#12133.0
72.5#188FT%—
35.2#2693PA rate#31635.1

VCU offense vs George Mason defense

VCU OStatGeorge Mason D
69.2#138Tempo#33564.7
53.6#84eFG%#8449.5
15.1#74TOV%#26015.4
31.6#141ORB%#8228.3
42.0#31FT rate#4428.9
8.9#141Block%#1859.1
51.9#193Assist%#19752.9
53.0#1312P%#9850.0
36.3#473P%#9132.6
73.6#151FT%—
43.8#973PA rate#8642.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

George Mason

Tue, Mar 17HLiberty149L 71–77
Thu, Mar 12NSt. Bonaventure158L 57–63
Sat, Mar 7HSaint Louis60W 86–57
Tue, Mar 3AVCU53L 65–70
Sat, Feb 28HSt. Bonaventure158W 71–58

VCU

Sat, Mar 21NIllinois7L 55–76
Thu, Mar 19NNorth Carolina39W 82–78
Sun, Mar 15NDayton67W 70–62
Sat, Mar 14NSaint Joseph's125W 77–64
Fri, Mar 13NDuquesne128W 71–66