Model line
Dayton −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 51%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
St. Bonaventure home
51%Win probability49%
The model makes Dayton a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dayton offense vs St. Bonaventure defense
| Dayton O | Stat | St. Bonaventure D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #22467.5 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #27753.3 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #14717.1 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #15029.8 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #15033.9 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #2513.1 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #27855.9 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #22952.8 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #30636.0 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #13740.7 |
St. Bonaventure offense vs Dayton defense
| St. Bonaventure O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#224 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 52.4#129 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 16.8#187 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 34.5#60 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 30.0#311 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 8.0#59 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 55.2#111 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 50.8#221 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 37.4#22 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 74.7#96 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#335 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
St. Bonaventure
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Dayton67 | L 63–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | George Mason98 | W 63–57 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | La Salle168 | W 99–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Davidson121 | L 63–68 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | George Washington103 | L 82–91 |
