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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Richmond · #127 · A10 · 0–0Davidson · #121 · A10 · 0–0Sat, Jan 9 · 2:30 PM ETJohn M. Belk Arena · Davidson, NC
Model line
Davidson −6.6
Win probability
Davidson 76%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Davidson home
24%Win probability76%

The model makes Davidson a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Richmond offense vs Davidson defense

Richmond OStatDavidson D
68.5#173Tempo#35064.2
52.7#116eFG%#13150.6
14.3#33TOV%#12017.5
25.0#340ORB%#15730.0
36.9#134FT rate#23937.1
7.7#41Block%#4912.0
54.5#127Assist%#9449.3
50.5#2382P%#17351.6
37.1#273P%#9032.6
75.2#75FT%—
42.6#1253PA rate#27136.7

Davidson offense vs Richmond defense

Davidson OStatRichmond D
64.2#350Tempo#17368.5
52.6#119eFG%#21452.0
15.8#119TOV%#11517.7
28.1#261ORB%#20331.0
31.0#281FT rate#18135.1
9.6#198Block%#3027.3
53.6#147Assist%#7148.2
52.2#1622P%#29954.5
35.4#943P%#10232.7
63.9#365FT%—
44.5#783PA rate#2645.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Richmond

Wed, Mar 11NLoyola Chicago151L 67–75
Sat, Mar 7ADuquesne128L 77–79
Tue, Mar 3HDayton67L 60–65
Sat, Feb 28ALoyola Chicago151L 66–69
Sat, Feb 21HSt. Bonaventure158W 99–94

Davidson

Tue, Mar 17AOklahoma St.52L 80–84
Fri, Mar 13NSaint Joseph's125L 58–70
Thu, Mar 12NLoyola Chicago151W 64–59
Sat, Mar 7ASt. Bonaventure158W 68–63
Wed, Mar 4HSaint Joseph's125L 67–70