Model line
Richmond −1.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 55%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Richmond home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Richmond a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Louis offense vs Richmond defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Richmond offense vs Saint Louis defense
| Richmond O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
