Model line
Dayton −16.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 95%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Dayton home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Dayton a 16.0-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Loyola Chicago offense vs Dayton defense
| Loyola Chicago O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.9#301 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 49.8#246 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 19.8#345 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 30.5#180 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 34.8#188 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 13.9#362 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 60.8#27 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 51.9#172 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 31.7#293 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 67.3#338 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#29 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Loyola Chicago defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Loyola Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #30165.9 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #21052.0 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #35712.9 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #14529.7 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #14133.6 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #6311.6 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #34861.3 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #8149.5 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #34036.8 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #4044.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Loyola Chicago
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Davidson121 | L 59–64 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Richmond127 | W 75–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | George Washington103 | W 68–62 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Saint Louis60 | L 65–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Richmond127 | W 69–66 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
