Model line
Davidson −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Davidson 57%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Davidson home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Davidson a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dayton offense vs Davidson defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Davidson D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #35064.2 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #13150.6 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #12017.5 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #15730.0 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #23937.1 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #4912.0 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #9449.3 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #17351.6 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #9032.6 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #27136.7 |
Davidson offense vs Dayton defense
| Davidson O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#350 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 52.6#119 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 15.8#119 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 28.1#261 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 31.0#281 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 9.6#198 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 53.6#147 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 52.2#162 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 35.4#94 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 63.9#365 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#78 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
Davidson
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Oklahoma St.52 | L 80–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | L 58–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | W 64–59 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | St. Bonaventure158 | W 68–63 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 67–70 |
