Model line
Little Rock −9.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 83%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Little Rock a 9.1-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Milwaukee offense vs Little Rock defense
| Milwaukee O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#143 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 49.9#239 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 15.2#82 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 33.0#90 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 32.1#256 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 9.5#185 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 48.1#284 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 50.8#218 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 32.3#266 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 68.7#304 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#212 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Milwaukee defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Milwaukee D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #14369.1 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #34055.5 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #23115.8 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #12129.2 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #20935.9 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #2278.5 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #27555.8 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #32656.0 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #32636.5 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #15640.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Milwaukee
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 63–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Youngstown St.248 | W 78–65 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Oakland208 | L 70–81 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 86–91 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Green Bay210 | W 75–72 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
