Model line
UNC Wilmington −13.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 93%
Projected tempo
68.4
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 13.8-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Louisiana defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
