Model line
Drake −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 76%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Drake home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Drake a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Charleston offense vs Drake defense
| Charleston O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#183 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 50.5#212 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 15.7#115 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 29.9#203 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 41.2#42 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.6#107 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 52.6#173 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 53.4#109 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 30.6#330 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 73.6#146 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#209 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Charleston defense
| Drake O | Stat | Charleston D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #18368.3 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #7449.2 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #30614.7 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #27132.3 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #1426.1 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #2612.9 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #20653.2 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #7749.5 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #8932.6 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #4943.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Charleston
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Towson179 | L 56–81 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Hampton221 | W 85–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Monmouth193 | W 74–63 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | North Carolina A&T300 | W 74–61 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
