Model line
UNC Wilmington −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 86%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Liberty offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Liberty O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Liberty defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
