Model line
Richmond −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 56%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Richmond a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Richmond offense vs Liberty defense
| Richmond O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Liberty offense vs Richmond defense
| Liberty O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
