Model line
Liberty −19.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Liberty 98%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Liberty home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Liberty a 19.7-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina Central offense vs Liberty defense
| North Carolina Central O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#257 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 47.5#327 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 18.1#280 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 30.0#200 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 39.3#72 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 12.4#346 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 52.7#172 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 46.7#334 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 32.6#251 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 73.8#141 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#298 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Liberty offense vs North Carolina Central defense
| Liberty O | Stat | North Carolina Central D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #25766.7 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #31654.5 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #2619.9 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #36439.4 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #23336.9 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #13710.0 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #32258.2 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #29654.5 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #32136.4 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #14240.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina Central
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Howard164 | L 63–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Delaware St.361 | W 59–53 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 83–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Carolina St.356 | L 64–80 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 77–73 |
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
