Model line
Jacksonville St. −8.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville St. 82%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Jacksonville St. home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Jacksonville St. a 8.8-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs Jacksonville St. defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Jacksonville St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #30465.8 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #8649.6 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #21216.2 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #6728.0 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #27938.7 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #1679.5 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #15251.3 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #7249.3 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #14033.3 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #7342.9 |
Jacksonville St. offense vs Little Rock defense
| Jacksonville St. O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#304 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 49.7#250 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 17.0#201 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 29.8#208 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 43.1#20 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 9.7#209 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 49.6#251 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 47.4#326 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 35.7#73 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 68.4#314 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#211 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
Jacksonville St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–68 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UTEP169 | W 64–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 75–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Liberty149 | L 78–81 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Delaware258 | W 80–70 |
