Model line
Fresno St. −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 85%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Fresno St. a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Riverside offense vs Fresno St. defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs UC Riverside defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
