Model line
USC −24.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 100%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
USC home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes USC a 24.8-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Michigan offense vs USC defense
| Western Michigan O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#150 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 49.9#242 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 16.9#197 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 30.5#182 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 32.8#243 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 11.9#339 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 48.1#285 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 48.1#308 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 35.3#103 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 74.4#109 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#248 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Western Michigan defense
| USC O | Stat | Western Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #15069.0 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #31354.4 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #34713.4 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #11829.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #25137.5 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2887.6 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #22253.9 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #30054.5 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #30836.1 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #5243.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Kent St.126 | L 78–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ball St.220 | L 71–74 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Miami OH108 | L 67–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Bowling Green192 | W 88–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Central Michigan272 | L 70–83 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
