Model line
USC −27.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
USC home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes USC a 27.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana offense vs USC defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Louisiana defense
| USC O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
