Model line
USC −38.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC >99%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
USC home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes USC a 38.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas Pine Bluff offense vs USC defense
| Arkansas Pine Bluff O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#43 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 50.0#232 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 18.7#308 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 27.9#270 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 38.4#91 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 8.7#117 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 56.3#83 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 49.8#260 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 33.6#189 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 75.5#64 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#226 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Arkansas Pine Bluff defense
| USC O | Stat | Arkansas Pine Bluff D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #4371.2 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #24352.6 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #18316.5 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #32034.2 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #34243.6 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2667.8 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #21953.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #28854.4 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #13333.2 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #25737.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas Pine Bluff
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern293 | L 81–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alcorn St.340 | W 83–48 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 78–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | L 69–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Prairie View A&M301 | W 84–82 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
