Model line
USC −30.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC >99%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
USC home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes USC a 30.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Milwaukee offense vs USC defense
| Milwaukee O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#143 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 49.9#239 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.2#82 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 33.0#90 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 32.1#256 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 9.5#185 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 48.1#284 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 50.8#218 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 32.3#266 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 68.7#304 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#212 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Milwaukee defense
| USC O | Stat | Milwaukee D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #14369.1 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #34055.5 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #23115.8 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #12129.2 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #20935.9 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2278.5 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #27555.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #32656.0 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #32636.5 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #15640.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Milwaukee
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 63–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Youngstown St.248 | W 78–65 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Oakland208 | L 70–81 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 86–91 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Green Bay210 | W 75–72 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
