Model line
Tennessee Martin −5.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee Martin 71%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Tennessee Martin home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Tennessee Martin a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Tennessee Martin offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
