Model line
Arkansas St. −13.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 93%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 13.8-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee Martin offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
