Model line
New Mexico St. −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico St. 89%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
New Mexico St. home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes New Mexico St. a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Denver offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Denver O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
New Mexico St. offense vs Denver defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
