Model line
Middle Tennessee −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Tennessee Tech O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#190 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 48.9#292 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 19.1#327 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 31.3#154 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 35.5#166 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 10.8#293 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 45.4#329 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 50.1#249 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 31.1#318 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 76.2#47 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#240 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Tennessee Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #19068.3 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #18851.5 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #28415.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #19030.7 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #8831.3 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #3087.1 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #13850.8 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #11550.3 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #29835.8 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #28336.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Southeast Missouri266 | L 73–89 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | L 49–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Lindenwood303 | W 72–57 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | SIU Edwardsville281 | W 62–52 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Southern Indiana324 | W 82–74 |
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |