Model line
Middle Tennessee −12.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 90%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 12.3-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southeast Missouri offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Southeast Missouri O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9#98 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 49.8#247 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 16.9#196 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 29.6#219 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 38.8#84 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 9.5#190 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 45.7#326 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 51.8#176 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 30.9#323 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 69.5#283 | FT% | — |
| 36.0#250 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Southeast Missouri defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Southeast Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #9869.9 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #6148.8 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #9418.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #7628.2 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #36148.0 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #1469.9 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #1443.9 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #4848.4 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #13033.1 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #34433.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southeast Missouri
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Morehead St.329 | L 61–66 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Lindenwood303 | W 68–66 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 89–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 71–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Little Rock219 | W 70–65 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
