Model line
Valparaiso −14.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 93%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Valparaiso a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
SIU Edwardsville offense vs Valparaiso defense
| SIU Edwardsville O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#313 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 49.5#267 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 17.9#267 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 30.1#195 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 30.6#292 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 8.9#140 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 50.9#222 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 47.8#315 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 35.0#121 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 67.1#343 | FT% | — |
| 36.2#245 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs SIU Edwardsville defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | SIU Edwardsville D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #31365.6 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #745.6 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #15517.0 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #23431.6 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #16134.3 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #6611.5 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #4046.4 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #1245.8 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #930.2 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #21838.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
SIU Edwardsville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Eastern Illinois358 | W 77–50 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Western Illinois363 | W 67–47 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Tennessee St.204 | L 53–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Tennessee Tech226 | L 52–62 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
