Model line
UCLA −14.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 94%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
UCLA home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes UCLA a 14.8-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego St. offense vs UCLA defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs San Diego St. defense
| UCLA O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
