Model line
UCLA −33.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA >99%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
UCLA home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes UCLA a 33.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Riverside offense vs UCLA defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs UC Riverside defense
| UCLA O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
