Model line
Gonzaga −2.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 58%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Gonzaga a 2.0-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs UCLA defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Gonzaga defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
