Model line
Purdue −26.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Purdue home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Purdue a 26.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio offense vs Purdue defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Ohio defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
