Model line
Purdue −20.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 98%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Purdue home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Purdue a 20.2-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Purdue defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
