Model line
Purdue −21.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 99%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Purdue home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Purdue a 21.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Valparaiso offense vs Purdue defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
