Model line
East Tennessee St. −9.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Tennessee St. 84%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
East Tennessee St. home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes East Tennessee St. a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Kentucky offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
East Tennessee St. offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
