Model line
Gonzaga −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 73%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
73%Win probability27%
The model makes Gonzaga a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs Oregon defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
