Model line
Oregon −31.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon >99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Oregon home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oregon a 31.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Oregon defense
| Southern O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Southern defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
