Model line
Illinois St. −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 89%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Eastern Illinois home
89%Win probability11%
The model makes Illinois St. a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Eastern Illinois defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Eastern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #28466.2 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #14550.8 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #3819.3 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #34135.2 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #18935.3 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #2178.6 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #31758.0 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #24353.1 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #5331.7 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #11941.2 |
Eastern Illinois offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Eastern Illinois O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#284 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 45.7#353 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 18.6#302 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 28.2#257 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 33.5#223 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 11.7#330 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 48.7#273 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 44.9#354 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 31.7#289 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 74.4#105 | FT% | — |
| 29.9#352 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Eastern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | L 63–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | SIU Edwardsville281 | W 77–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 50–77 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Lindenwood303 | W 71–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 68–70 |
