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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Carolina Central · #357 · MEAC · 0–0South Carolina St. · #356 · MEAC · 1–0Thu, Mar 4 · 12:00 AM ETSmith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · Orangeburg, SC
Model line
South Carolina St. −6.9
Win probability
South Carolina St. 77%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
South Carolina St. home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes South Carolina St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Carolina Central offense vs South Carolina St. defense

North Carolina Central OStatSouth Carolina St. D
66.7#257Tempo#8270.3
47.5#327eFG%#29753.9
18.1#280TOV%#5818.8
30.0#200ORB%#36237.6
39.3#72FT rate#36451.9
12.4#346Block%#7511.3
52.7#172Assist%#31657.9
46.7#3342P%#33656.3
32.6#2513P%#15633.5
73.8#141FT%—
33.9#2983PA rate#20538.9

South Carolina St. offense vs North Carolina Central defense

South Carolina St. OStatNorth Carolina Central D
70.3#82Tempo#25766.7
46.8#341eFG%#31654.5
20.8#356TOV%#2619.9
31.4#145ORB%#36439.4
41.1#48FT rate#23336.9
9.6#202Block%#13710.0
52.6#177Assist%#32258.2
44.8#3572P%#29654.5
34.0#1743P%#32136.4
66.8#345FT%—
33.3#3113PA rate#14240.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Carolina Central

Sat, Mar 14NHoward164L 63–70
Fri, Mar 13NDelaware St.361W 59–53
Thu, Mar 12NMaryland Eastern Shore364W 83–76
Thu, Mar 5HSouth Carolina St.356L 64–80
Mon, Mar 2AMaryland Eastern Shore364W 77–73

South Carolina St.

Mon, Nov 2HMorrisW 94–55
Fri, Mar 13NHoward164L 61–78
Thu, Mar 12NNorfolk St.297W 88–82
Thu, Mar 5ANorth Carolina Central357W 80–64
Mon, Mar 2ADelaware St.361W 61–59